General Characteristics
-
Crude oil is a mixture of hydrocarbons that exists in a
liquid phase in natural underground reservoirs. Oil and gas account for about
60 per cent of the total world's primary energy consumption.
-
Almost all industries including agriculture are dependent on
oil in one way or other. Oil & lubricants, transportation, petrochemicals,
pesticides and insecticides, paints, perfumes, etc. are largely and directly
affected by the oil prices.
-
Aviation gasoline, motor gasoline, naphtha, kerosene, jet
fuel, distillate fuel oil, residual fuel oil, liquefied petroleum gas,
lubricants, paraffin wax, petroleum coke, asphalt and other products are
obtained from the processing of crude and other hydrocarbon compounds.
-
The prices of crude are highly volatile. High oil prices lead
to inflation that in turn increases input costs; reduces non-oil demand and
lower investment in net oil importing countries.
Categories of Crude
oil
- West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil
is of very high quality. Its API gravity is 39.6 degrees (making it a "light"
crude oil), and it contains only about 0.24 percent of sulphur (making a "sweet"
crude oil). WTI is generally priced at about a $2-4 per-barrel premium to OPEC
Basket price and about $1-2 per barrel premium to Brent, although on a daily
basis the pricing relationships between these can very greatly.
- Brent Crude Oil stands as a benchmark
for Europe.
- India is very much reliant on oil from
the Middle East (High Sulphur). The OPEC has identified China & India as
their main buyers of oil in Asia for several years to come.
Crude Oil Units (average
gravity)
- 1 US barrel = 42 US gallons.
- 1 US barrel = 158.98 litres.
- 1 tonne = 7.33 barrels .
- 1 short ton = 6.65 barrels .
- Note: barrels per tonne vary from origin
to origin.
Global Scenario
- Oil
accounts for 40 per cent of the world's total energy demand.
- The world consumes about 76 million bbl/day of oil.
- United
States (20 million bbl/d), followed by China (5.6 million bbl/d) and Japan (5.4
million bbl/d) are the top oil consuming countries.
- Balance
recoverable reserve was estimated at about 142.7 billion tones (in 2002), of
which OPEC was 112 billion tones.
OPEC fact sheet
OPEC stands for 'Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries'. It is an organization of eleven developing countries that
are heavily dependent on oil revenues as their main source of income. The
current Members are Algeria, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria,
Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Venezuela.
- OPEC
controls almost 40 percent of the world's crude oil.
- It accounts for about 75
per cent of the world's proven oil reserves.
- Its exports represent 55 per cent of the oil traded internationally.
Indian Scenario
- India ranks among the top 10 largest
oil-consuming countries.
- Oil accounts for about 30 per
cent of India's total energy consumption. The country's
total oil consumption is about 2.2 million barrels
per day. India imports about 70 per cent of its total
oil consumption and it makes no exports.
- India faces a large supply deficit, as domestic oil
production is unlikely to keep pace with demand. India's rough production was
only 0.8 million barrels per day.
- The oil reserves of the country
(about 5.4 billion barrels) are located primarily
in Mumbai High, Upper Assam, Cambay, Krishna-Godavari
and Cauvery basins.
- Balance recoverable reserve was
about 733 million tones (in 2003) of which offshore
was 394 million tones and on shore was 339 million
tones.
- India had a total of 2.1 million
barrels per day in refining capacity.
- Government has permitted foreign participation
in oil exploration, an activity restricted earlier to state
owned entities.
-
Indian government in 2002 officially ended the Administered
Pricing Mechanism (APM). Now crude price is having a high correlation with the
international market price. As on date, even the prices of crude bi-products
are allowed to vary +/- 10% keeping in line with international crude price,
subject to certain government laid down norms/ formulae.
-
Disinvestment/restructuring of public sector units and
complete deregulation of Indian retail petroleum products sector is under way.
Prevailing
Duties & Levies on Crude Oil
| Particulars
|
Rates |
| Basic Customs Duty |
10% |
| Cess |
Rs.1800
per metric tonne |
| NCCD* |
Rs.50
per metric tonne |
| Education
cess |
2% |
| Octroi |
3% |
| War
fedge |
Rs.57
per metric tonne |
Market Influencing Factors
Terrorism, Weather/storms, War and any other unforeseen
geopolitical factors that causes supply disruptions.
Global demand particularly from emerging nations.
Dollar fluctuations.
DOE / API imports and stocks.
Refinery fires & funds buying.
Exchanges
dealing in crude futures
- The New York Mercantile Exchange
(NYMEX) .
- The International Petroleum Exchange
of London (IPE).
- The Tokyo Commodity Exchange (TOCOM).
International oil price variation
Particular |
Frequency of % variation
|
0
to 3.1% |
3.2
to 6.2% |
6.3
to 9.3% |
More
than 9.3% |
Refiner
acquisition cost for Crude oil (composite) - Average
monthly price from Apr 01 to Mar 04 |
8 |
16 |
4 |
>8 |
Maximum price variation
| Period considered
(Based on data from Apr 94 to Mar 04) |
Percentage |
Monthly |
23.25 |
Yearly |
28.73 |
|