Gold is the oldest precious metal known to man. Therefore,
it is a timely subject for several reasons. It is the opinion
of the more objective market experts that the traditional
investment vehicles of stocks and bonds are in the areas of
their all-time highs and may be due for a severe correction.
To fully appreciate why 8,000 years of experience
say "gold is forever", we should review why the
world reveres what England's most famous economist, John Maynard
Keynes, cynically called the "barbarous relic."
Why gold is "good as gold" is an intriguing
question. However, we think that the more pragmatic ancient
Egyptians were perhaps more accurate in observing that gold's
value was a function of its pleasing physical characteristics
and its scarcity.
- Gold is primarily a monetary asset
and partly a commodity.
- More than two thirds of gold's total
accumulated holdings account as 'value for investment'
with central bank reserves, private players and high-carat
Jewellery.
- Less than one third of gold's total
accumulated holdings is as a 'commodity' for Jewellery in
Western markets and usage in industry.
- The Gold market is highly liquid and
gold held by central banks, other major institutions and
retail Jewellery keep coming back to the market.
- Due to large stocks of Gold as against
its demand, it is argued that the core driver of the real
price of gold is stock equilibrium rather than flow equilibrium.
- Economic forces that determine the
price of gold are different from, and in many cases opposed
to the forces that influence most financial assets.
- South Africa is the world's largest
gold producer with 394 tons in 2001, followed by US and
Australia.
- India is the world's largest gold consumer
with an annual demand of 800 tons.
World Gold Markets
- London as the great clearing house
- New York as the home of futures trading
- Zurich as a physical turntable
- Istanbul, Dubai, Singapore and Hong
Kong as doorways to important consuming regions
- Tokyo where TOCOM sets the mood of Japan
- Mumbai under India's liberalized gold
regime
India in World Gold Industry
| (Rounded
Figures) |
India
(In Tons) |
World
(In Tons) |
%
Share |
Total
Stocks |
13000
|
145000 |
9 |
Central
Bank holding |
400 |
28000 |
1.4 |
Annual
Production |
2 |
2600 |
0.08 |
Annual
Recycling |
100-300 |
1100-1200 |
13 |
Annual
Demand |
800 |
3700 |
22 |
Annual
Imports |
600 |
--- |
--- |
Annual
Exports |
60 |
--- |
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|